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- Read more: Circle of Competence: The Most Honest Question You Can Ask Yourself →
Circle of Competence: The Most Honest Question You Can Ask Yourself
16-07-2026 · 12 min read
Warren Buffett's simplest idea is his most profitable. Knowing what you don't know is worth more than everything you do know.
- Read more: The Overton Window: How the Unthinkable Becomes Inevitable →
The Overton Window: How the Unthinkable Becomes Inevitable
09-07-2026 · 11 min read
Every radical idea that's now mainstream once sat outside the Overton Window of acceptable discourse. The mechanics of how it moved — and who moves it.
- Read more: Anchoring: The Number You Saw Five Minutes Ago Is Controlling Your Decision Right Now →
Anchoring: The Number You Saw Five Minutes Ago Is Controlling Your Decision Right Now
02-07-2026 · 11 min read
Judges, doctors, and negotiators all fall for anchoring bias. The first number in any conversation becomes the gravitational centre of everything after.
- Read more: The Principal-Agent Problem: Why Your Incentives Are Never Aligned →
The Principal-Agent Problem: Why Your Incentives Are Never Aligned
25-06-2026 · 12 min read
Your doctor, your financial advisor, your real estate agent — none of them are optimising for your outcome. The structural reason why, and what to do about it.
- Read more: The Dunning-Kruger Peak Is a Mirror, Not a Window →
The Dunning-Kruger Peak Is a Mirror, Not a Window
18-06-2026 · 11 min read
You think the Dunning-Kruger effect is about other people. The research says it's about you — and the smarter you are, the harder it is to see.
- Read more: Tight and Loose Cultures: Why Some Countries Wear Masks and Others Don't →
Tight and Loose Cultures: Why Some Countries Wear Masks and Others Don't
11-06-2026 · 12 min read
Michele Gelfand's tight-loose theory explains everything from pandemic responses to workplace norms to why your in-laws drive you crazy.
- Read more: Deliberate Practice Is Not 10,000 Hours →
Deliberate Practice Is Not 10,000 Hours
04-06-2026 · 11 min read
Anders Ericsson never said what Malcolm Gladwell claimed he said. The real science of deliberate practice is more specific, more uncomfortable, and more useful than a round number.
- Read more: Tit for Tat with Forgiveness: The Strategy That Won the Cold War →
Tit for Tat with Forgiveness: The Strategy That Won the Cold War
28-05-2026 · 11 min read
Axelrod's famous tournament had a sequel. The winning strategy changed — and the change reveals something profound about generosity in competitive environments.
- Read more: Survivorship Bias: The Cemetery of Silent Evidence →
Survivorship Bias: The Cemetery of Silent Evidence
21-05-2026 · 10 min read
You study the winners to learn their secrets. Nobody studies the losers who did the exact same things. This is why most success advice is dangerous.